Abstract

Urban agglomerations significantly alter the regional thermal environment. It is urgent to investigate the evolution and influence mechanisms of urban agglomeration heat island intensity from a regional perspective. This study is supported by Google Earth Engine long-term MODIS data series. On the basis of estimating surface urban heat island intensity (SUHI) in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration from 2001 to 2020 based on the suburban temperature difference method, the causes of heat islands in the urban agglomeration were analyzed by using geographical detector analysis. Additionally, the heat island proportion (PHI) and SUHI indicators were used to compare and analyze the changing characteristics of the urban heat island effect of ten representative cities. The research reveals the following: (1) The average SUHI of the study area increased from 0.11 °C in 2001 to 0.29 °C in 2020, with an average annual increase rate of 0.009 °C. (2) According to the results of the geographical detector analysis, SUHI was influenced by several driving factors exhibiting obvious seasonal variations. (3) SUHI difference between cities is significant in the summer (1.52 °C), but smallest in the winter; the PHI difference between cities is larger in the autumn (46.7%), while it is smaller in the summer. The research findings aim to effectively serve the formulation of collaborative development plans for the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration.

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