Spatial–Temporal Variation and Influencing Factors on Housing Prices of Resource-Based City: A Case Study of Xuzhou, China

Abstract

The steady development of the real estate market is an important link in the transformation of resource-based cities. Taking the main urban area of Xuzhou, a typical resource-based city in China, as an example, this study used a spatial–temporal geographically weighted regression (GTWR) method guided by characteristic price theory to analyze the evolution of the spatial–temporal pattern of house prices in resource-based cities and the influencing factors. The results of the study showed that, from the time trend, Xuzhou’s main city house price trend underwent the obvious stages; from June 2015 to September 2016, the trend was stable, and from March 2017 to June 2018, it was an “up–down–up” trend. With respect to the spatial distribution of house prices, from June 2015 to June 2017, the traditional business district and the major city in the Xuzhou metropolitan area were the areas of highest house prices, and after September 2017, the structural features of the traditional business district, along with the main city of the metropolitan area and the new city, formed the areas of highest importance. With regard to the factors influencing house prices, the type of dwelling, according to the building characteristics, had the largest impact on house prices, and the enrichment of housing types became an effective way to regulate housing prices. The impact of location characteristics on house prices varied depending on differences in the public infrastructure surrounding housing, with the contribution of the planned metro stations to house prices not effectively emerging. The impact of neighborhood characteristics on house prices varied, with tertiary care hospitals having a ‘neighborhood avoidance effect’ on house prices, given that hospital-generated waste was too densely distributed around houses, suppressing neighborhood house prices. The results of this study indicated that, in the process of real estate market development in resource-based cities, the planning department should consider the different functions and division of labor in each region and scientifically formulate urban development plans to provide a good external environment for the healthy development of the city’s property market.