Abstract

High spatial resolution precipitation data are important for hydrological modeling and meteorological applications, especially at regional scales. Statistical downscaling methods for satellite precipitation products using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) have been carried out in many regions to provide high spatial resolution precipitation. These methods generally use NDVI and precipitation at the same time, assuming that there is a real-time response of vegetation to precipitation. However, this assumption does not hold in many scenarios. It is known that different vegetation types exhibit different response times to precipitation, i.e., there is a possible lag in the response of vegetation to precipitation depending on the vegetation/landcover type. Therefore, it is not appropriate to estimate precipitation using NDVI collected at the same time. To better represent the relationship between precipitation and vegetation, this article develops a new vegetation index based on adaptive lag phase (VIAL) estimated from a new growth rate that is adaptive to landcover type. Based on VIAL, a new local precipitation downscaling method called LPVIAL is proposed, which essentially considers the nonstationary relationship between precipitation and VIAL. The performance of LPVIAL is assessed by downscaling Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) from 0.1° to 1-km spatial resolution over the Pearl River Basin in Southern China from 2010 to 2017 at 16-day temporal resolution, and the downscaled products are validated against ground observations. Results indicate that the high-resolution precipitation data obtained from the new downscaling approach perform well, and the accuracy is higher than traditional approaches. With the enhancement of spatial resolution, LPVIAL downscaled products show more detailed spatial information of precipitation with smooth distribution, and the downscaled products have slightly higher accuracy compared with IMERG. It is, therefore, suggested that the adaptive lag phase should be considered in the satellite precipitation product downscaling process.

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