Spatial and Temporal Variation Characteristics of the Intensity of Landfall Tropical Cyclones in China

Abstract

Based on the tropical cyclone data of the United States Joint Typhoon Center, this paper analyses the characteristics of the temporal and spatial changes of tropical cyclones that landed in China from 1951 to 2015. The conclusions are as follows: (1) The frequency of landings showed a slow upward trend from 1951 to the early 1990s, and showed a slow downward trend from the late 1990s to 2015. In 1988, it changed from a low period to a high period. (2) Tropical cyclones are mainly distributed in the range of 130-140°E, 10-15°N east of the Philippine Islands, and the northeastern part of the South China Sea. The spatial distribution of the first eigenvector of the source frequency EOF is basically the same as the multi-year spatial distribution. From the time coefficient of the first mode, the change trend of the concentrated distribution has undergone a process of strengthening-weakening. From the perspective of the spatial distribution of the second mode, the source frequencies in the Northwest Pacific and the South China Sea have opposite spatial distribution characteristics in the latitude direction. (3) One of the main tracks of landfall tropical cyclones is westward from the tropical Pacific to the Philippine Sea and South China Sea, and the other from the tropical Pacific to the northwest to South Korea and Japan, affecting the area near the coast of East Asia. The spatial distribution of the first eigenvector of the track frequency EOF is basically the same as that of the multi-year spatial distribution, and the spatial distribution of the second mode has a positive-negative opposite spatial distribution characteristic in the meridian direction.