Abstract
Cross analysis of available historical series of solar wind turbulence, atmospheric circulation, Earth’s rotation and sea surface temperature, when smoothed from the secular trend and periods shorter than 23 years, allowed a cascade climatological model to be set up that integrates the Sun-atmosphere-Earth system as a simple unit and ties solar corpuscular output to sea surface temperature through atmospheric circulation and the Earth’s rotation. An increase in solar corpuscular activity causes a deceleration of zonal atmospheric circulation which, like a torque, causes a deceleration of the Earth’s rotation that, in turn, causes a decrease in sea surface temperature. Application of this holistic model allows us to predict a gradual decline in global warming starting from the current decade.
Highlights
There has been an explosive increase in the use of General Circulation Models (GCM) to forecast the increase in the Earth’s mean temperature caused by anthropogenic atmospheric CO2
There is a trade-off between representation and evaluation. To overcome such a paradox, a new methodological approach is here proposed: the scientist must have the courage to come out from inside the investigated phenomenon and investigate the same phenomenon from the outside. This means that the results provided by the GCM reductionist approach must be compared with those provided by a holistic one that relates among themselves solar and terrestrial phenomena [1], investigates the phenomenon in its totality and drastically reduces the number of degrees of freedom to those used in celestial mechanics in which
The aim of this paper is to investigate the geomagnetic forcing of sea surface temperature through the atmospheric circulation and Earth’s rotation rate
Summary
There has been an explosive increase in the use of General Circulation Models (GCM) to forecast the increase in the Earth’s mean temperature caused by anthropogenic atmospheric CO2. This requires powerful computers that provide the solutions to a complex set of partial differential equations, strongly combined non-linearly, involving large quantities of input data. There is a trade-off between representation and evaluation To overcome such a paradox, a new methodological approach is here proposed: the scientist must have the courage to come out from inside the investigated phenomenon and investigate the same phenomenon from the outside. This means that the results provided by the GCM reductionist approach must be compared with those provided by a holistic one that relates among themselves solar and terrestrial phenomena [1], investigates the phenomenon in its totality and drastically reduces the number of degrees of freedom to those used in celestial mechanics in which
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