Abstract

Abundance and per-capita foraging efficiency are essential factors for predicting and quantifying an invasive predator impact on prey, i.e., the impact potential (IP). However, population structure is not included in the calculation, and IP accuracy might be improved by incorporating predator body size. The population structure of the round goby Neogobius melanostomus, a highly invasive predator, was surveyed in the Elbe River. We determined the functional response (FR, per capita foraging) of the three most abundant size classes of N. melanostomus on the water louse Asellus aquaticus. We then calculated the IP for each size class and for the entire population with (the actual impact potential – IPA) and without (the impact potential for limit size rage – IPLSR) population body size structure (based on FR of the medium size class). All three size classes of the predator showed type II FR with respect to A. aquaticus. The estimated FR parameters, attack rate and handling time, as well as the maximum feeding rate, were size dependent. Despite the lowest per capita foraging efficiency, small individuals displayed the highest IP among the tested size classes because of their high abundance. Conversely, medium and large individuals, although showing highest per capita foraging efficiency, displayed lower IP. Hence, IPA showed more precise IP calculations compared to IPLSR. Overestimation of the potential impact as a consequence of omitting predator population size structure was negligible at the investigated locality. The IP of the N. melanostomus population five years post-invasion can be accurately calculated based on the FR of medium-sized fish.

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