Simulation of the development of the resource potential of the regional spatial-economic system under the conditions of the state of war and post-war recovery

Abstract

Russia's war against Ukraine continues to deepen the processes of the global crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Violation by the aggressor country of all international rights and norms aggravates Ukraine's humanitarian and ecological disaster. At the same time, there is a threat to food security in the economic sphere of regional spatial and economic systems. Ensuring the formation of sufficient resources for restoring the economy of spatial-economic systems in martial law and post-war reconstruction remains a problematic issue. Therefore, creating models of forming spatial-economic system component resources and modeling behavior under different conditions is quite relevant and timely. The article's purpose is simulation modeling of developing the regional spatial-economic system's resource potential in martial law and post-war reconstruction conditions. Modeling of improving the efficiency of the use of the possibility of small business in ensuring war economic recovery was carried out, using a multifactorial dynamic model, the use of which allows determining the degree of influence of the effectiveness of the use of its constituent elements (labor, material, and technical, financial, innovative and infrastructural potential) on the leading indicators of post-war recovery, which makes it possible to identify the features of these components and allows them to be adapted to increase the efficiency of its use. The sustainable regional agricultural production model based on resource-saving and environmental protection technologies in martial law and post-war reconstruction is substantiated. Modeling of the post-war restoration of the tourist and recreational potential based on the development of aquaculture has been implemented, which allows determining the possibilities of the synergy of the restoration of the tourist and recreational potential on the main principles (ecosystem preservation, economic efficiency, and development of regional management) and integration processes, determining promising results for all subjects management Simulation modeling of the development of the regional investment potential in the conditions of martial law and post-war reconstruction was carried out. Keywords: simulation modeling, resource potential, regional spatial-economic system, martial law, post-war reconstruction