Abstract

The article presents the automated scheme for monitoring, analysis and forecasting based on the extended conceptual foresight model, which is a system of methods of expert evaluation of the strategic prospects of innovative development, identification of technological breakthroughs that can have maximum influence on economy and society in the medium and long-term outlook.

Highlights

  • Foresight is one of the tools, which allows identifying priority areas of science, technology, innovation and making a concrete action plan for their development

  • Foresight is a system of methods of expert evaluation of the strategic prospects of innovative development, identification of technological breakthroughs that can have maximum influence on economy and society in the medium and long-term outlook

  • Herbert Wells introduced the concept of «Foresight» in 1932. In one of his public speeches, a well-known science fiction writer spoke about the need for «Foresight Professor» – a new scientific specialty aimed at studying future technological breakthroughs and search for areas of their application

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Summary

Introduction

Foresight is one of the tools, which allows identifying priority areas of science, technology, innovation and making a concrete action plan for their development. Foresight is a system of methods of expert evaluation of the strategic prospects of innovative development, identification of technological breakthroughs that can have maximum influence on economy and society in the medium and long-term outlook. Herbert Wells introduced the concept of «Foresight» in 1932. In one of his public speeches, a well-known science fiction writer spoke about the need for «Foresight Professor» – a new scientific specialty aimed at studying future technological breakthroughs and search for areas of their application. Foresight has already been considered as a systematic and systemic process enabling to assess future development of a subject area by means of expert evaluations. American RAND Corporation introduced a number of significant innovations, which gained wide dissemination later

History of Foresight methods
System of Foresight methods
Quantitative methods dominate
Indicators and criteria
Conclusion

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