SIMULATION DYNAMIC MODEL OF THE POST-WAR ECONOMIC RECOVERY OF UKRAINE'S TRANSPORT POTENTIAL

Abstract

Introduction. The effectiveness of the socio-economic development of Ukraine depends on the transport potential largely, the unique role of which is actualized under martial law conditions and in the post-war period of reconstruction of the economy in Ukraine. Therefore, the ability to carry out different types and different volumes of transportation becomes essential for socio-economic development and meeting the needs of the country's defense capability. Determination of the purpose and goals of the research. The article's purpose is to create a simulation dynamic model of the post-war economic recovery of Ukraine's transport potential. The results. To implement the proposed methodological approaches and to eliminate the subjectivity of the obtained results, statistical data from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and modern tools of the Microsoft Excel application program were used. The category "transport potential" is proposed to be considered as all the possibilities (material, human resources, financial and investment resources, etc.) that can be used to transport anyone or anything, that is, to obtain the results of the production of the transport system, which is a crucial component of national production infrastructure. Conclusions. In order to create ex-post-war simulation dynamic models and forecast the constituent parameters of the national transport potential in the system of socio-economic development, it is proposed to carry out research based on grouping the characteristics of the transport potential according to its resource capabilities and production results, by distinguishing the following groups of indicators: material resources, human resources, investment resources, production results. The proposed grouping and creation of ex-post simulation dynamic models allow structuring the resources of the transport system to achieve maximization or optimization of the production results of the transport system in the context of national socio-economic development and to determine forecast estimates for individual parameters of the national transport potential. Keywords: simulation dynamic model, post-war economic recovery, transport potential of Ukraine, resources.