Abstract

The study of the shallow-water wind-wave relationship holds considerable importance in the realm of coastal engineering construction. However, existing empirical formulas for China's coastal areas face predictive accuracy challenges due to the discontinuity and insufficient temporal and spatial resolution of conventional observations, such as buoy and satellite data. Therefore, this study emphasizes two representative shallow-water areas along China's coast, the Pearl River Estuary and Bohai Bay. Based on the advanced SWAN + ADCIRC wave-current coupling model, numerical models for calculating wave evolution are established, calibrated and validated by real observation data. From these numerical foundations, a new model capturing shallow-water wind-wave relationship is proposed, demonstrating substantive applicability specifically tailored to the estuary and bay regions. The accuracy and applicability of the model are validated by comparing with real observation data. In addition, probabilistic models are introduced in this study accounting for the randomness of the significant wave height. These enhancements allow for refined quantification of significant wave height occurrence probabilities relative to specified wind speeds, offering informed predictive parameters, including upper and lower limits.

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