SIGURNOST U NESIGURNOSTI MEĐUNARODNOG PORETKA

Abstract

The modern world is exposed to increasingly rapid and dramatic changes. In the past three years. the most important global processes are marked by great dangers, which interrupted the thirty-year period of global stability and progress. The past three years have been marked by processes that radically change the current political, economic and security relations in the world and significantly affect contemporary states and the international order. The consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic, increasingly intense global migration, the American effort to preserve global dominance, the strengthening of China’s role in the world, Russia’s preoccupation with the war in Ukraine, and the renewal of the arms race, especially with nuclear weapons, have the effect that security turns into insecurity of the international order. With the end of the COVID-19 pandemic, the world is faced with major economic and political consequences. The end of the war in Ukraine is also uncertain, as is the possibility of its spread to other countries and the unfathomable consequences it has caused for global politics and the economy. Already these two global problems have dramatically affected the global community, and the repositioning of many countries, especially the leading world powers. Because of this, the US continuously adapts its foreign and security policy to the state of the world, strengthening its influence in Europe and Asia, where it confronts Russia and China. As America’s main challenger, China continues to strengthen its economy and project soft power in the global community, especially in Africa and the Middle East. India, which has recently become the world’s most populous country, is also gaining a growing global influence. Taking into account the influence of other global actors such as the European Union, Brazil, Japan and Australia, it is certain that we are facing a period of new multipolarism as a framework for solving both new and old global political, economic and security problems. Global security, which until recently was threatened primarily by terrorism, organized crime, hybrid threats, the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and cyber threats, due to the increasing number of new and more challenging threats, such as wars, will be realized in the uncertainty of the international order.