Abstract
Annual and seasonal mean global surface pressure time series for the 25 years 1964-1988 obtained from the Comprehensive Ocean Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) were subjected to quasi-continuous periodogram spectral analysis. Periodograrn estimates are summarized in the following: (i) the atmospheric interannual variability exhibits a broadband (eddy continuum) structure; (ii) the spectra follow the universal inverse power-law form of the statistical normal distribution; (ii) periodicities up to 5 years contribute to as much as 50 per cent of the total variance; (v) the highand low-frequency El Niii-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycles of respective periodicities 3-4 years and 4-8 years and interdecadal oscillations are present in all the data sets. The inverse power-law form for power spectra is ubiquitous to real-world dynamical systems and is identified as a signature of self-organized criticality or deterministic chaos. The above results are consistent with a recently developed cell dynamical system model for abnospheric flows, which predicts self-organized criticality as intrinsic to quantum-like mechanics governing abnospheric flow dynamics. Identification of selforganized criticality in annual and seasonal mean surface pressure fluctuations and its unique quantification implies predictability of the total pattern of fluctuations. A universal spectnun for interannual variability rules out linear trends in atmospheric surface pressure patterns.
Published Version
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