Abstract

A set of procedures and algorithms are developed for short-term (1-3 hours) electric power system load prediction. The short-term load predictors provide look ahead capability for an economic dispatch that coordinates predicted load changes with the rate-of- response capability of generation units. The short- term load prediction also enables valve-point loading of generation units. The predictor models are estimated empirically. Test results are given for the predictor models applied to actual loads of an electric utility.

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