Serum cytokeratin 19 fragments: A novel preoperative prognostic marker in patients with upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma.

Abstract

412 Background: Current guidelines do not yet provide any recommendations for any serum tumor markers in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). Even today radiological images cannot diagnose muscle invasion correctly. Previous studies have shown that serum cytokeratin levels were correlated with depth of tumor invasion and metastases in patients with bladder cancer. In this study we evaluated whether preoperative serum cytokeratin 19 fragment levels (sCK19) could be a prognostic marker for survival in patients who received nephroureterectomy (NU). Methods: 160 cases with UTUC underwent NU from December 2003 to 2014 at our institution. The median age was 73 years. Preoperative sCK19 was measured in 138 cases. The patients were divided into two groups, high sCK19 group (HG) and low group (LG) based on sCK19 (a cut-off value: 3.5 ng/mL). Cancer-specific survival (CSS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were measured by Kaplan–Meier curves and statistical analysis was performed by the log–rank test. Multivariate analysis was carried out using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Of 138 cases ≤pT1 was 54 (39%), pT2 in 31 (22%), pT3 in 45 (32%) and pT4 in 8 (5%). 37 cases (23%) were the HG and 101 (78%) were the LG. sCK19 were significantly correlated with pT (rs 0.213, p=0.013, Spearman rank correlation). The median follow-up time was 34.0 months. In all cases the 5-year CSS was 78% and PFS was 60%. The 5-year CSS of the HG (57%) was significantly lower than the LG (86%) (p=0.001). The 5-year PFS of the HG (36%) was significantly lower than that of the LG (67%) (p<0.001). On univariate analysis, pT stage, lymphovascular invasion, positive margin (PM) and sCK19 were the significant factors for CSS. On multivariate analysis, sCK19 (HR4.2, p=0.001) and PM (HR2.9, p=0.001) were the independent poor prognostic factors. Conclusions: Preoperative sCK19 was the prognostic factor for the patients with UTUC. Systemic chemotherapy should be considered before NU in patients with high preoperative sCK19 levels independent of radiological findings.