Abstract

Reservoir water and rainfall are the two main factors affecting the seepage of earth-rock dams, but the seepage measurement includes the seepage discharge caused by the reservoir water and rainfall. Only by obtaining the seepage discharge caused by the reservoir water can we evaluate the seepage safety state. In this paper, a statistical model for seepage monitoring of earth-rock dams is established. Normal distribution function and Rayleigh distribution function are used as the lag functions of reservoir water and rainfall, respectively. The grey wolf algorithm is used to solve the lag days, and the partial least square method is adopted to solve the regression coefficient of the statistical model. Then, the reservoir water (main water) and rainfall infiltration (foreign water) parts of the measuring weir are separated with the statistical model. The developed method is used to separate the main and foreign water parts of the three measuring weirs of the Danjiangkou earth-rock dam. The results show that the overall accuracy of the models is high (the multi-correlation coefficients are about 0.95), and the separated main and foreign water seepage discharge conforms to the seepage law of earth-rock dam, which verifies the effectiveness of the method.

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