Sensitivity of seasonal circulation response to snow reduction in the Northern Hemisphere and Eurasia and its impact on Eurasian climate

Abstract

In this study, we analyze the impact of reduced snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere on the atmosphere and if the atmospheric response depends on the model resolution. We use the atmospheric component of the global climate model EC-Earth and perform three experiments: in the first experiment, we reduce the snow cover in the entire Northern Hemisphere by reducing the snow albedo to a constant value of 0.3, in the second experiment, we reduce the snow albedo only over Eurasia, and the third experiment is the control run using normal snow conditions. All experiments are integrated over the period 1980–2015 at standard resolution (~ 80 km) and high resolution (~ 40 km). Experiments comprise 11 and 5 ensemble members at standard resolution and high resolution, respectively. Reducing the snow albedo in the Northern Hemisphere leads to 5–10% snow cover reduction in winter and spring. Significant warm responses are found over northern Eurasia in spring and summer with a warm response reaching 3 °C. Similar but weaker warm temperature responses are found in the middle and upper troposphere (up to 2 °C) and reversed temperature responses in the stratosphere (up to – 2 °C), particularly over eastern Eurasia. This is closely associated with westerly jet flow response which is enhanced at high-latitude and weakened at low-latitude in winter and spring over eastern Eurasia. Reduced snow cover leads to warmer surface temperatures that accelerate snow-melting and further lead to different snow-hydrological responses in western and eastern Eurasia and more precipitation occurs over eastern Eurasia (increasing 10–20%), particularly in the Siberian region. When the snow albedo is reduced only in the Eurasian sector, the surface response pattern resembles the results of the Northern Hemisphere experiment. The warm response is slightly weakened about 0.25–0.5 °C over Eurasia and significantly weakened outside of Eurasia. However, the upper air circulation response is much less pronounced over Eurasia. The impact of resolution on the mean surface field response is small yet it is more pronounced on the large-scale circulation response, particularly in spring and winter.