Semiconductors for enhanced solar photovoltaic-thermoelectric 4E performance optimization: Multi-objective genetic algorithm and machine learning approach

Abstract

In this study, a groundbreaking exploration of a concentrated photovoltaic-thermoelectric (CPV-TE) module employing an unprecedented selection of six thermoelectric materials across diverse temperature ranges is presented. This work innovatively employs a multi-objective optimization framework that combines genetic algorithms and goal attainment methods, aiming to optimize energy, exergy, environmental, and economic (4 E) performance. Notably, this study is the first to construct and evaluate five regression-based machine learning models with an emphasis on minimal root mean squared error and mean absolute error for rapid CPV-TE performance predictions, essential for real-world applications. Our analysis unveils that among the tested materials, the CPV-TE module incorporating lead telluride (PbTe) achieves the highest 4 E performance, demonstrating a peak exergy efficiency of 14.2 %, and annual energy savings and carbon reduction of 13.5 kWh and 6.4 kg, respectively. Furthermore, the Gaussian Process Regression model is identified as the most effective among the machine learning models for forecasting performance across the materials. This study significantly advances the field by providing novel insights into thermoelectric material selection and optimization for CPV-TE modules, and establishing pioneering forecasting tools that catalyze the efficient deployment of these systems.