Self-Driving Vehicles: Determinants of Adoption and Conditions of Usage

Abstract

This study gathered empirical evidence on adoption patterns of self-driving vehicles, their likely use, and how that use might influence the amount of travel, mode choice, auto ownership, and other travel behavior decisions. Because self-driving vehicles were not yet on the market, a car technology acceptance model was applied to understand adoption and use. Researchers implemented a two-stage data collection effort. An online survey was conducted with 556 residents of metropolitan Austin, Texas, to determine intent to use. Four intent-to-use categories were determined: extremely unlikely, 18%; somewhat unlikely, 32%; somewhat likely, 36%; and extremely likely, 14%. Of those who indicated intent to use, qualitative interviews were conducted to ascertain the impact on their travel behavior. Most respondents would rather own a self-driving vehicle than use one such as Car2Go or Uber taxi. In addition, respondents reported that using a self-driving vehicle would make no change in where people would choose to live in Austin (80%), no change to their annual vehicle miles of travel (66%), and no change to the number of vehicles owned (55%).