Abstract

High levels of dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) in groundwater pose challenges for regions like northern Anhui Province, China, where groundwater is a crucial domestic resource. This study utilized modern geostatistics to explore the spatial and temporal dynamics of DIN in groundwater. Significant seasonal influences on DIN concentrations were identified: ammonium peaks during wet season driven by agricultural activities, while nitrate peaks during the dry season primarily influenced by municipal inputs. This study established a Bayesian Maximum Entropy - Random Forest (BME-RF) model based on Land Use/Land Cover data to infer the spatio-temporal performance of DIN, achieving an interpretation rate above 90 %. It also highlighted the role of hydrogeological conditions and aquifer types in the evolution of DIN. By employing a DIN environmental interaction model, it further analyzed the eco-hydrological drivers and seasonal trends affecting DIN variability, enhancing the understanding of groundwater nitrogen dynamics and their link to environmental factors with low consumption. SynopsisThis study reveals seasonal shifts in groundwater DIN, links them to human activity, and uses the BME model to guide targeted nitrogen fluctuation.

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