Abstract
The purpose of the study is to justify the use of the universal scenario method of strategic planning and forecasting the development of the agroindustrial complex of the regional rural economy. The scientific novelty of the study lies in the application of a set of theoretical and methodological provisions for scenario planning and forecasting the development of agriculture in the regions, taking into account the assessment of their existing potential and constructing a territorial planning scheme for the priority of participation in the implementation of strategic directions of rural development in agricultural production. The paper presents a territorial model of the priority of participation of the municipal regions of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the implementation of strategic areas in the areas of development of production of grain crops, sugar beet, and oilseeds. The developed scenario method, reflecting the qualitatively heterogeneous directions of the development of enterprises, is formed taking into account the achievement of the strategic goal and potential opportunities of rural areas. This allows determining strategic decisions for the further development of rural areas and integrating them into a uniform industry development strategy. The developed approach is recommended to be used as a guideline in the development of long-term programs for the development of the crop production industry, as well as for adjusting the activities of ongoing programs.
Highlights
Today, strategic planning can become a driver, the basis for ensuring the competitiveness of the development of various territorial systems, including rural areas
E preparation of planning programs is carried out mainly for cities; at the same time, strategic planning and forecasting the development of rural territorial municipal units is no less relevant, where development plans are the organizing document aimed at ensuring their competitiveness. e lack of a comprehensive scientific justification for the formation of real methods of strategic planning and forecasting the development of rural areas can lead to the adoption of incorrect management decisions, which will make it difficult to determine priorities in strategic development programs of rural municipalities [3]
Various scenarios based on science, research, and innovations adapted to African conditions take into account the combination of dominant factors developed by African experts [6]
Summary
Strategic planning can become a driver, the basis for ensuring the competitiveness of the development of various territorial systems, including rural areas. E use of the scenario method in strategic planning for the development of the agroindustrial complex of the agricultural sector will help bring the rural municipalities of the region to a qualitatively new level of socioeconomic development.
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