Abstract
The mangrove biome is threatened by global environmental changes (including sea level rise, SLR) and anthropogenic disturbances. In this context, understanding the growth dynamics of mangrove species is essential for designing effective management plans for critical mangrove ecosystems such as the Bangladesh Sundarbans. Therefore, this study aims to (1) identify the growth-ring boundaries and tested their periodicity (annual nature) in one of the ecologically important understory mangrove species, Cynometra ramiflora in the Bangladesh Sundarbans, (2) determine the influences of climate and river discharge on radial growth, and (3) examine the influence of habitat variables (e.g., regulators, resources and forest structure) on radial growth. The growth-ring boundaries of C. ramiflora were distinct on the polished wood discs and marked by a layer of flattened fibers mixed with parenchyma. The agreement between individual growth-ring series and chronology statistics enabled us to develop for the first time a 42-year-long chronology spanning from 1979 to 2021. The results indicate that growth rings are annual and could be used for age and growth rate estimations. Monsoonal and annual precipitation enhanced radial growth. Growth was also positively influenced by the amount of river discharge received prior to the onset of growth, particularly during the pre-monsoon. Generalized additive models (GAMs) revealed that among the habitat variables, salinity had a strong negative influence on radial growth of the studied species in the Sundarbans, while tree density and diameter heterogeneity (coefficient of variation, CoV of diameter at breast height, dbh) had positive influences. This study revealed that C. ramiflora growth is strongly dependent on soil salinity and highlighted the potential of this approach for improving the prediction of future tree growth and distribution in the face of projected global changes, in particular, SLR.
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