Abstract

In this paper, the risk of water supply systems as a combination of hydraulic analyses (consequence) and failure probability of pipelines based on the actual condition is discussed. On the one hand, a stepwise closing of pipelines calculates the influence on customer's supply which represents the importance of a pipe. On the other hand, based on existing failure statistics, age and material distribution, a failure probability of a pipe segment is calculated. The two factors represent a risk matrix which is crucial for optimising the system.

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