Risk Factors for Silent Brain Infarcts and White Matter Disease in a Real-World Cohort Identified by Natural Language Processing

Abstract

ObjectiveTo assess the frequency of silent brain infarcts (SBIs) and white matter disease (WMD) and associations with stroke risk factors (RFs) in a real-world population. Patients and MethodsThis was an observational study of patients 50 years or older in the Kaiser Permanente Southern California health system from January 1, 2009, through June 30, 2019, with head computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging for nonstroke indications and no history of stroke, transient ischemic attack, or dementia. A natural language processing (NLP) algorithm was applied to the electronic health record to identify individuals with reported SBIs or WMD. Multivariable Poisson regression estimated risk ratios of demographic characteristics, RFs, and scan modality on the presence of SBIs or WMD. ResultsAmong 262,875 individuals, the NLP identified 13,154 (5.0%) with SBIs and 78,330 (29.8%) with WMD. Stroke RFs were highly prevalent. Advanced age was strongly associated with increased risk of SBIs (adjusted relative risks [aRRs], 1.90, 3.23, and 4.72 for those aged in their 60s, 70s, and ≥80s compared with those in their 50s) and increased risk of WMD (aRRs, 1.79, 3.02, and 4.53 for those aged in their 60s, 70s, and ≥80s compared with those in their 50s). Magnetic resonance imaging was associated with a reduced risk of SBIs (aRR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.83 to 0.91) and an increased risk of WMD (aRR, 2.86; 95% CI, 2.83 to 2.90). Stroke RFs had modest associations with increased risk of SBIs or WMD. ConclusionAn NLP algorithm can identify a large cohort of patients with incidentally discovered SBIs and WMD. Advanced age is strongly associated with incidentally discovered SBIs and WMD.