Abstract P57: Risk Factors for Incidentally Discovered Silent Brain Infarcts and White Matter Disease in a Real World Cohort Identified by Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

Introduction: Silent brain infarcts (SBIs) and white matter disease (WMD) are highly prevalent and associated with increased risk of ischemic stroke in patients with traditional stroke risk factors (RFs) in prospective cohort studies. Their frequency and associations with stroke RFs have not been well described in real world populations. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of patients age ≥ 50 in the Kaiser Permanente-Southern California (KPSC) health system between 2009-2019 with a head CT or MRI for non-stroke indications and no history of ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or dementia. A natural language processing (NLP) algorithm developed at Mayo Clinic and Tufts Medical Center was applied to the KPSC EHR to identify individuals with reported SBIs or WMD. Multivariable Poisson regression with robust error variance was used to estimate risk ratios of demographics, stroke RFs (from the Framingham Stroke Risk Score), and scan modality on the presence of SBIs or WMD. Results: Among 262,875 individuals, the NLP identified 13,154 (5.0%) with SBIs and 78,330 (29.8%) with WMD. Stroke RFs were highly prevalent in this cohort. The majority underwent CTs (74.8%) instead of MRIs as their initial neuroimaging. After adjustment for demographics and RFs, advanced age demonstrated a strong association with increased risk of SBIs and WMD (table). MRI was associated with a reduced risk of reported SBIs (ARR: 0.87, 95% CI 0.83-0.91) and an increased risk of reported WMD (ARR 2.86, 95% CI 2.83-2.90). Despite being prevalent, traditional stroke RFs had weak associations with increased risk of SBIs or increased risk of WMD. Conclusions: Advanced age is strongly associated with incidentally discovered SBIs and WMD on neuroimaging studies obtained in routine care. The development of SBIs and WMD may not be fully attributable to traditional stroke RFs.