Abstract

Ultra high voltage (UHV) power transmission construction project is a high-tech power grid construction project which faces many risks and uncertainty. Identifying the risk of UHV power transmission construction project can help mitigate the risk loss and promote the smooth construction. The risk evaluation on “Zhejiang-Fuzhou” UHV power transmission construction project was performed based on analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) method in this paper. After the risk evaluation index system was built, the AHP was used to determine the weights of risk indicators, and the FCE method was to perform the risk evaluation. The evaluation result shows that (1) “Zhejiang-Fuzhou” UHV power transmission construction project has moderate risk, which indicates the occurrence probability of project risk is medium and the risk occurrence will cause general loss for project, (2) “society risk” has the highest level, and the next is “policy and law risk,” “technique risk,” “natural environmental risk,” and “Management risk,” respectively, and it should keep main eye on the social risk, policy and law risk, and technique risk. Finally, according to the risk evaluation result, the specific risk control recommendations were proposed for the smooth construction of this project.

Highlights

  • The energy resource distribution and energy consumption pattern in China are inconsistent

  • “Zhejiang-Fuzhou” ultra high voltage (UHV) power transmission construction project is a key power grid project invested by the State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC), which plays an important role in keeping the power network operating in safe and stable condition, promoting the efficient utilization of China’s energy, and advancing the regional economic development

  • Risk index identification is a basis for building the risk evaluation index system, which is the beginning of UHV power transmission construction project management

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Summary

Introduction

The energy resource distribution and energy consumption pattern in China are inconsistent. To advance the harmonious development of both the economy and society, building the ultra high voltage (UHV) power transmission system with the transmission capacity of long distance, high capacity and low loss is of great importance, which can promote the intensification development of large-scale coal-power, hydropower and nuclear-power generation bases, optimize the energy production and consumption pattern, and enhance the safety and reliability of China’s power grid [2]. “Zhejiang-Fuzhou” UHV power transmission construction project is a key power grid project invested by the State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC), which plays an important role in keeping the power network operating in safe and stable condition, promoting the efficient utilization of China’s energy, and advancing the regional economic development. Specific risk control recommendations are proposed in Section 5; Section 6 concludes this paper

Overview of ‘‘Zhejiang-Fuzhou’’ UHV Power Transmission Construction Project
Building the Risk Evaluation Index System
Design and distribute the questionnaire
Risk Evaluation on ‘‘Zhejiang-Fuzhou’’
Step 2
Step 3
Step 4
Substep 1
Substep 2
C10 C11 C12 C13 C14 C15 C16 C17 C18 C19 C20 C21 C22
Substep 4
Substep 5
Step 5
Step 6
Step 7
Risk Control Recommendations for “Society Risk”
Risk Control Recommendations for “Policy and Law Risk”
Risk Control Recommendations for “Technology Risk”
Conclusions
Full Text
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