Risk-constrained probabilistic optimal scheduling of FCPP-CHP based energy hub considering demand-side resources

Abstract

Renewable energy sources (RES) with sharing a large percentage of future energy generation capacities play an essential role in the decarbonization of the future electricity and thermal networks as well as transportation sectors. However, the uncertainties in their outputs make some difficulties in making operational decisions. Hydrogen energy plays a considerable role in this concept. Besides, energy hubs (EHs) provide an efficient and reliable framework for gathering multi-type energy carriers.This paper optimally schedules the operating of the EH and decreases the emission cost, considering the electrical and thermal demand response (DR) program in a probabilistic environment. Besides plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) and a complete model of hydrogen-based renewable energy sources are presented in the EH. Taking into account uncertainties of electrical/thermal energy markets real-time prices, customers' energy demand, and energy production of RESs into account, various scenarios are generated using the Monte Carlo simulation technique. Next, an efficient method is used to reduce the number of the scenario to make the optimization problem computable and fast. In order to reduce the risk of encountering high operating costs, the conditional value at risk (CVaR) technique is used to manage the associated risk. Simulation results show the efficiency of the proposed method in decreasing the operational cost and managing the risk of encountering unfavorable states.