Abstract

According to risk systems theory and the characteristics of the chemical industry, an index system was established for risk assessment of enterprises in chemical industrial parks (CIPs) based on the inherent risk of the source, effectiveness of the prevention and control mechanism, and vulnerability of the receptor. A comprehensive risk assessment method based on catastrophe theory was then proposed and used to analyze the risk levels of ten major chemical enterprises in the Songmu Island CIP, China. According to the principle of equal distribution function, the chemical enterprise risk level was divided into the following five levels: 1.0 (very safe), 0.8 (safe), 0.6 (generally recognized as safe, GRAS), 0.4 (unsafe), 0.2 (very unsafe). The results revealed five enterprises (50%) with an unsafe risk level, and another five enterprises (50%) at the generally recognized as safe risk level. This method solves the multi-objective evaluation and decision-making problem. Additionally, this method involves simple calculations and provides an effective technique for risk assessment and hierarchical risk management of enterprises in CIPs.

Highlights

  • In recent years, chemical industrial parks (CIPs) have become one of the mainstreams of international development and a new developmental model in the Chinese chemical industry

  • Considering the characteristics of enterprises in CIPs, which generally include multiple types of businesses, complex production processes, and large stocks of hazardous chemicals, several researchers have conducted enterprise risk assessment of the chemical industry while focusing on the risk associated with materials, safety of production processes, and indices of environmental risks (Table 1)

  • An risk assessment index system was established according to the risk system theory to characterize the comprehensive risk level of the enterprises in a CIP based on three indices, the inherent risk associated with the risk source, effectiveness of prevention and control mechanisms, and vulnerability of receptors

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Summary

Introduction

Chemical industrial parks (CIPs) have become one of the mainstreams of international development and a new developmental model in the Chinese chemical industry. While CIP construction promotes development of the regional economy and chemical industry, it poses new safety issues and environmental risks [1,2,3]. A core issue of concern to those who construct and manage CIPs is the effective prevention and mitigation of losses and impacts caused by risk accidents, and implementation of effective risk management that can ensure safe production and social stability to enable sound development of the enterprises

Method
Catastrophe Theory
Index System Establishment
Control Variable Standardization
Risk Level Transformation
Study Site
Catastrophe Theory Application
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
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