Rice Development Availability Model using System Dynamics Method

Abstract

Rice is a strategic food commodity in Indonesia, so the availability and consumption needs of rice need to be considered. in line with population growth and the decline in the area of agricultural land also influences the management of rice availability and has the potential to become a rice supply deficit if it is not managed properly. The purpose of this paper is to develop a pattern of relations between rice availability and rice consumption so that a balance occurs in the management of rice availability. The method used is the System Dynamics model, where this method is able to formulate a complex system by utilizing historically existing data to form a model, therefore this approach is expected to form a performance model of balance between rice availability and consumption which can then be simulated to predict needs in the future so that it can be used for faster and more accurate decision making.