Abstract

Preparing for climate change depends on the observation and prediction of decadal trends of the environmental variables, which have a direct impact on the sustainability of resources affecting the quality of life on our planet. The NASA Climate Absolute Radiance and Refractivity Observatory (CLARREO) mission is proposed to provide climate quality benchmark spectral radiance observations for the purpose of determining the decadal trends of climate variables, and validating and improving the long-range climate model forecasts needed to prepare for the changing climate of the Earth. The CLARREO will serve as an in-orbit, absolute, radiometric standard for the cross-calibration of hyperspectral radiance spectra observed by the international system of polar operational satellite sounding sensors. Here, we demonstrate that the resulting accurately cross-calibrated polar satellite global infrared spectral radiance trends (e.g., from the Metop IASI instrument considered here) can be interpreted in terms of temperature and water vapor profile trends. This demonstration is performed using atmospheric state data generated for a 100-year period from 2000–2099, produced by a numerical climate model prediction that was forced by the doubling of the global average atmospheric CO2 over the 100-year period. The vertical profiles and spatial distribution of temperature decadal trends were successfully diagnosed by applying a linear regression profile retrieval algorithm to the simulated hyperspectral radiance spectra for the 100-year period. These results indicate that it is possible to detect decadal trends in atmospheric climate variables from high accuracy all-sky satellite infrared radiance spectra using the linear regression retrieval technique.

Highlights

  • Climate change is a reality that must be dealt with for the protection of life, property and sustainable resources for generations to come

  • The accuracy of the retrieved variables depends on the accuracy of the radiometric data from which they are inferred, the accuracy of the retrieval algorithm used to transform the radiometric data into atmospheric variables, the accuracy of the forward radiative transfer model used within the retrieval algorithm for the inverse solution of the atmospheric variables from the radiance measurements, and the proper modeling of the influence of the Earth’s surface, clouds, aerosols and minor constituents, which must be accounted for in the radiance observations for the retrieval of the temperature and water vapor profiles to be analyzed in terms of decadal trends

  • It can be seen that the Dual Regression (DR) retrieval algorithm is able to separate out the influence of CO2 variability from the atmospheric temperature variability influencing the variability in the radiance spectra

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Summary

Introduction

Climate change is a reality that must be dealt with for the protection of life, property and sustainable resources for generations to come. Preparing for climate change depends on the observation and prediction of the decadal trends of the environmental variables, such as temperature, moisture and clouds, which have a direct impact on the sustainability of resources affecting the quality of life on our planet. Using radiometric instruments on the international system of polar orbiting and geostationary satellites can in principle provide a set of observations which can be averaged to produce climate variables without a diurnal sampling bias. Sensors 2020, 20, 1247 from satellite radiance measurements Such errors lead to disagreements between the satellite indirect measurement of thermodynamic variables with direct observations using conventional in-situ surface and upper air balloon devices that lack the global unbiased sampling potential of the international system of Earth orbiting satellites.

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