Research on the Economic Development Threshold Effect of the Employment Density of the Shanghai Consumer Goods Industry in the Context of New Manufacturing, Based on the Experience Comparison with International Metropolis

Lei Shen,Pinbo Yao,Xi Zhang,Hongda Liu

doi:10.3390/math9090969

Abstract

With the rise of a new generation of technology and industrial changes, the service-oriented manufacturing industry has become the direction of future development. With the background of new manufacturing, this paper constructs an economic development threshold model of employment density of consumer goods industry based on data from Shanghai and Tokyo from 2007 to 2016, and empirically analyzes the impact of the employment density of the consumer goods industry on urban economic development under different population densities. At the same time, by comparing the experience of Tokyo, the development status and prospects of Shanghai’s consumer goods industry are explored. The study found that the threshold of Tokyo’s consumer goods industry is 0.608. When population density is lower than this threshold, the consumer goods industry continues to promote the economic development of Tokyo; however, when the population density is higher than this threshold, the consumer goods industry begins to inhibit the economic development of Tokyo. The Shanghai consumer goods industry threshold is 0.329. Under the threshold, most of the consumer goods industry contributions to the economy are negative, but above the threshold, they begin to show a positive trend. The inflection point of the effect curve of Tokyo’s consumer goods industry on economic development has appeared, but the inflection point of Shanghai’s consumer goods industry has not yet appeared. Compared with Tokyo, the economic vitality of Shanghai’s consumer goods industry has not yet been fully released. With the continued increase of population density in Shanghai, the growth potential of the consumer goods industry is huge, and it is expected to reshape the flourishing age of Shanghai’s light industry brand.

Highlights

The international metropolis is the intermediate stage of the urban internationalization process
The layout of this article is as follows: first, we present the existing literature to outline the relationship between employment density, population density, and economic development, and to formulate theoretical hypotheses
Since the effective coefficient of consumer goods industry on urban economic development can show its degree of influence, it can be divided into three echelons, the first echelon: food processing industry (5.899 → 3.992); The second echelon: make-up industry (−4.513 → −4.372), clothing industry (−6.488 → −3.214), packaging and printing industry (−29.083 → −21.045) indoor decoration industry (−10.876 → −6.298); The third echelon: small electronic processing industry (−15.759 → −9.915), pharmaceutical manufacturing industry (−18.683 → −9.682), process tourism (−18.758 → −13.272)

Summary

Introduction

The international metropolis is the intermediate stage of the urban internationalization process. Its importance is that a mature and stable manufacturing industry promotes the re-optimization and re-adjustment of the service industry. The two industries are interdependent, mutually promoted, and integrated, which lays the foundation for the international transformation of the city [1]. Producer services stand out and have gradually become the core thrust of the evolution of the industrial structure of the international metropolis [2], enabling economic development and structural adjustment. The advantageous service industry dominated by intelligent manufacturing has further clarified the functional status and international role of the city [4], and has constructed a strong and distinctive city card

Results

Discussion

Conclusion