Research on the Development Trend of Population Aging in Heilongjiang Province under the Policy of the “Universal Two-child Policy”

Abstract

Heilongjiang Province entered the aging society in 2005, 5 years later than the national level, but the speed is faster than the national average. The coefficient of the population of over 65-year-old elder people has been the same as the whole city. To predict the development trend of population aging in Heilongjiang under the policy of “selective two-child policy” and the “universal two-child policy” and then make a comparative study, the Leslie model is applied. Results indicate that the implementation of the “universal two-child policy”, compared with “selective two-child policy”, contributes to postpone the development process of Heilongjiang population aging and lower the elderly dependency ratio. However, this policy can only delay population aging. It cannot curb the deepening of Heilongjiang Province’s aging population. The aging population affects the process of economic and social development in Heilongjiang, meanwhile, creates new opportunities for development in Heilongjiang. Dealing with the aging of the population is to be an important strategy of economic and social development in Heilongjiang.