Research on relationship between public security and economic growth in China

Abstract

The econometric model which reflects the relationship between economic growth and public security in China was established in order to analyze the evolution law and trends of public security based on the time series data from 1991 to 2009.The simulation result reflects that the EKC presents an N-shaped curve instead of a U-shaped which means public emergency frequency would first increase, and decline, and then increase, with the rapid increase of GDP per capita. The trend would appear repeatedly and finally decline. According to the statistic result, the current state of public security would be worsening with the growth of economic in China. As a result, it is necessary to sum up the experience and advance the adoption of appropriate preventive measures. The Economic growth should be accompanied by a good public security circumstance.