Abstract

Under the goal of carbon neutralization and carbon peak, China’s electric vehicle industry will usher in a high-speed development stage. Electric vehicles can achieve carbon emission reduction from two aspects of electric energy substitution and clean energy substitution. In this paper, the carbon emission reduction benchmark of electric vehicles is determined, and the Bass model is used to predict the number of electric vehicles. On this basis, the carbon dioxide emissions reduced when electric vehicles replace fuel vehicles to meet the travel requirements and the carbon dioxide emissions of electric vehicles with different proportions of renewable energy generation are analyzed. Finally, the benefits of carbon emission reduction under decentralized and centralized modes are studied to determine the subsidy range of electric vehicle users.

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