Abstract
The manifestation of voters’ preferences with respect to representation considerations in the results of multiple-winners primary elections is studied, using both a real example and a simulation of a simple model. For the real example, results from primaries in Meretz party in Israel are analyzed with respect to three representation considerations (“new faces”, ethnic origin and gender). For the simulation, a model of distribution of support between candidates in two representation groups is used, combining uniform distribution with bias, or partly based on empirical results from real elections. It is shown that large deviations between voters’ preferences and the election results may exist, and in fact predicted as the most common result in typical scenarios.
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