Abstract

<strong class="journal-contentHeaderColor">Abstract.</strong> Numerical models predict that discharge from the polar ice sheets will become the largest contributor to sea-level rise over the coming centuries. However, the predicted amount of ice discharge and associated thinning depends on how well ice sheet models reproduce glaciological processes, such as ice flow in regions of large topographic relief, where ice flows around bedrock summits (i.e. nunataks) and through outlet glaciers. The ability of ice sheet models to capture long-term ice loss is best tested by comparing model simulations against geological data. A benchmark for such models is ice surface elevation change, which has been constrained empirically at nunataks and along margins of outlet glaciers using cosmogenic exposure dating. However, the usefulness of this approach in quantifying ice sheet thinning relies on how well such records represent changes in regional ice surface elevation. Here we examine how ice surface elevations respond to the presence of strong topographic relief that acts as an obstacle by modelling ice flow around and between idealised nunataks during periods of imposed ice sheet thinning. We find that, for realistic Antarctic conditions, a single nunatak can exert an impact on ice thickness over 20 km away from its summit, with its most prominent effect being a local increase (decrease) of the ice surface elevation of hundreds of metres upstream (downstream) of the obstacle. A direct consequence of this differential surface response for cosmogenic exposure dating is a delay in the time of bedrock exposure upstream relative to downstream of a nunatak summit. A nunatak elongated transversely to ice flow is able to increase ice retention and therefore impose steeper ice surface gradients, while efficient ice drainage through outlet glaciers produces gentler gradients. Such differences, however, are not typically captured by continent-wide ice sheet models due to their coarse grid resolutions. Their inability to capture site-specific surface elevation changes appears to be a key reason for the observed mismatches between the timing of ice-free conditions from cosmogenic exposure dating and model simulations. We conclude that a model grid refinement over complex topography and information about sample position relative to ice flow near the nunatak are necessary to improve data–model comparisons of ice surface elevation and therefore the ability of models to simulate ice discharge in regions of large topographic relief.

Highlights

  • Ongoing changes in climate are already causing significant mass loss and ice-margin retreat of both the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets (Garbe et al, 2020; King et al, 2020)

  • Our experiments clearly demonstrate that the presence of a nunatak impacts ice surface elevations, and that the response magnitude depends on its orientation relative to ice flow

  • In order to improve our understanding of ice flow over these regions of large topographic relief, we used an ice flow model that represented an idealised portion of an ice sheet

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Summary

Introduction

Ongoing changes in climate are already causing significant mass loss and ice-margin retreat of both the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets (Garbe et al, 2020; King et al, 2020). Ice sheet models currently struggle to replicate the timing, magnitude, and rate of ice thickness change that has been inferred from field studies (Jones et al, 2020; Stutz et al, 2020) This may be partly due to the spatial resolution of these models which, when run over glacial-interglacial cycles, do not resolve the pattern of ice flow around individual nunataks, and 75 cannot resolve the transient response of the ice surface at the sampled locations. We address this limitation through two tests. We apply a numerical ice flow model to an idealised bedrock topography typical of Antarctic settings. 80

Data and Methods
Model domain setup
Model spin up
Ice thinning experiments
Three-nunatak experiments
Mesh-resolution experiments
# Experiments
Discussion
Implications for the interpretation of past ice sheet reconstructions
Implications for modelling ice flow in areas of large topographic relief
Summary and conclusions
Full Text
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