Reliability indices for road geometric design

Abstract

Highway engineers, when asked to state the safety of a particular design, are usually at a loss to give a single meaningful measure as is possible in structural or geotechnical engineering. This paper outlines a method to estimate the margin of safety and reliability index for isolated highway components. The stopping sight distance is used to demonstrate the method. The method uses the basic highway design equations. On the assumption that the variables are random, the expected value of the mean and the variance are estimated; and from these the margin of safety and the reliability index are calculated. The most likely combination of variables for the existing design condition may also be estimated. The variables included represent the characteristics of the driver, the vehicle, and the road surface.A method is proposed to specify the design parameter's value representing a road's strategic importance, the users, the vehicles, the drivers, the environment, the terrain, and the standard of design and construction. The apparent advantage of the proposed reliability-based method is that the designer must explicitly specify the importance of the modifying factors and may also more closely investigate the behaviour of the variables in the design parameters in the critical region near noncompliance. Key words: limit states design, stopping sight distance, safety, highway design, reliability.