Abstract

Due to the continuous movement of underthrusting Indian plate beneath the Eurasian plate the strain energy accumulates, which is released substantially in the form of great earthquakes. It is yet to be released in the unruptured zone which lies between the two great earthquakes viz. 1934 Bihar-Nepal earthquake and 1905 Kangra earthquake. This zone has been termed as the Central Seismic Gap (CSG). The occurrence of previous great earthquakes and recent Nepal earthquakes, gives a clue to the probable location of future great earthquake. On the basis of analysis of seismicity in the locked portion and the stress drop analysis the CSG has been redefined and location of probable zone of future great earthquake has been demarcated.

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