Abstract

The purpose of the study is to examine the relationship between Turkey's dollar-denominated Eurobonds and CDS contracts that are related to these Eurobonds and also to present the price discovery process. First, ADF and Lee-Strazicich unit root tests were applied to variables regarding daily data for the period 02.01.2014-31.12.2019. With finding structural breaks after unit root tests, causality relations between variables were examined by the Toda-Yamamoto causality method. There is a very strong one-way causality relationship from CDS premiums to bond premiums at the 5% significance level and a causality relation from bond premiums to CDS premiums at the 10% significance level. This situation shows that the credit risk premium pricing is realized primarily in CDS contracts.

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