Abstract

The main objective of the economic policy of all countries is to simultaneously achieve internal and external balance, while giving priority to one of the objectives, depending on the current circumstances of economic development. High inflation rates in most developing countries have resulted in the establishment of price stability as the primary long-term goal of monetary policy. Although coordination of monetary and fiscal policy is necessary in order to achieve the goals of economic policy, the consensus between economists and politicians about the significant role of monetary policy in achieving goals has been reached. The aim of this paper is a comparative analysis of the efficiency of various exchange rate regimes in the countries of former Yugoslavia - Serbia, Montenegro and Bosnia and Herzegovina through the integration of monetary and real macroeconomic indicators. After presenting the theoretical foundations of the exchange rate regime applied in these countries, statistical analysis of selected macroeconomic indicators will lead to a comparative analysis of their efficiency.

Highlights

  • Odabir režima deviznog kursa determiniše pravac razvoja privrede jedne zemlje, naravno, u koordinaciji sa ostalim odlukama monetarne i fiskalne politike

  • Zbog njegove neraskidive povezanosti sa režimom monetarne politike, jedan je od ključnih faktora koji utiču na privredni razvoj zemlje

  • Za Crnu Goru i Bosnu i Hercegovinu će upotreba evra, odnosno fiksiranje vrednosti domaće valute za evro biti olakšavajuća okolnost u pogledu monetarnih integracija unutar Evropske unije, ali je pristupanje Evropskoj monetarnoj uniji za sve tri posmatrane zemlje ipak daleka budućnost, te se treba fokusirati na ostvarenje što boljih rezultata u sadašnjosti

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Summary

Introduction

Odabir režima deviznog kursa determiniše pravac razvoja privrede jedne zemlje, naravno, u koordinaciji sa ostalim odlukama monetarne i fiskalne politike. U režimu fiksnog deviznog kursa se smanjuje manevarski prostor delovanja monetarne politike koja je podređena očuvanju stabilnosti deviznog kursa, što za inflatorne tranzicione zemlje, koje se suočavaju i sa problemom visoke nezaposlenosti, kao i privredne stagnacije, može biti ozbiljan nedostatak. Sve zemlje unutar ovog tipa deviznog kursa kao režim monetarne politike koriste targetiranje deviznog kursa.

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