Regional trends in wet deposition of sulfate in the United States and SO 2 emissions from 1980 through 1995

Abstract

Regional trends of seasonal and annual wet deposition and precipitation-weighted concentrations (PWCs) of sulfate in the United States over the period 1980–1995 were developed from monitoring data and scaled to a mean of unity. To reduce some effects of year to year climatological variability, the unitless regional deposition and PWC trends were averaged (hereafter termed CONCDEP). The SO 2 emissions data over the same period from the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico, aggregated by state and province, were weighted appropriately for each deposition region in turn to produce scaled trends of the emissions affecting each region. The emission-weighting factors, which were held constant year to year, were estimated by exercise of a regional transport model. The sulfate CONCDEP regional trends are generally similar to those of regionally weighted SO 2 emissions, although the latter trends are less steep and the former trends have more year to year variability. In eastern regions, sulfate CONCDEPs and SO 2 emissions patterns both generally show an initial decrease, an essentially trendless middle period, and a final decrease as reductions mandated by the Acid Rain Provisions of the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments began. Linear regressions of regional sulfate CONCDEPs on corresponding regionally weighted SO 2 emissions produced statistically significant relationships in all regions. The analysis indicated that although regional sulfate CONCDEPs decreased relatively faster than did SO 2 emissions during the period in all regions except the Great Plains, in general the slopes were not significantly different from unity.