Abstract

After decades of limited situational awareness for aircraft flying in the mid-North Atlantic, full satellite coverage will soon be available. This opens up the possibility of altering flight routes to exploit the wind field fully. By considering flights between New York and London, from 1 December, 2019 to 29 February, 2020, it is shown how changes to current practice could significantly reduce fuel use and, hence, greenhouse gas emissions. When airspeed and altitude are constant, the fuel flow rate per unit time is constant and the route with the minimum journey time uses the least fuel. Optimal control theory is used to find these minimum time routes through wind fields from a global atmospheric re-analysis dataset. The total fuel burn and, hence, the emissions (including CO2) are proportional to the ‘air distance’ (the product of airspeed and flight time). Minimum-time routes are compared with the actual routes flown through the wind fields. Results show that current flight tracks have air distances that are typically several hundred kilometres longer than the fuel-optimised routes. Potential air distance savings range from 0.7% to 7.8% when flying west and from 0.7% to 16.4% when flying east, depending on airspeed and which of the current daily tracks is used. Thus, substantial reductions in fuel consumption are possible in the short term. This is in contrast to the incremental improvements in fuel-efficiency through technological advances, which are high cost, high risk and take many years to implement.

Highlights

  • As pressure to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions continues to increase (IPCC 2019), aviation must respond at least as ambitiously as the other transport sectors

  • The air traffic management (ATM) tracks are heavily constrained by safety considerations driven by the poor situational awareness available over the mid-Atlantic

  • Airlines currently choose routes that minimise the total cost of operating a flight, not the fuel consumption or emissions

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Summary

Introduction

As pressure to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions continues to increase (IPCC 2019), aviation must respond at least as ambitiously as the other transport sectors. Aviation is responsible for approximately 2.4% of all anthropogenic sources of CO2 (Graver et al 2019, Grewe et al 2019, Lee et al 2020), but this figure is growing (Ryley et al 2020, Grewe et al 2017, Graver et al 2019). 192 nations agreed to CORSIA (Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation) in 2016, pledging to use offset schemes to maintain net emissions at the 2020 level (Timperley 2019). CORSIA only provides short term alleviation, as there are difficulties in ensuring that genuine net emissions reduction takes place

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