Abstract

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has a 30-day mortality rate of 45%, with approximately half the survivors sustaining irreversible brain damage.1 On the basis of an annual incidence of 6 per 100 000, ≈15 000 Americans will have an aneurysmal SAH each year. Population-based incidence rates vary considerably from 6 to 16 per 100 000, with the highest rates reported from Japan and Finland.2 3 4 5 Approximately 5% to 15% of stroke cases are secondary to ruptured saccular aneurysms. Although the prevention of hemorrhage has been advocated as the most effective strategy aimed at lowering mortality rates,6 the optimal management of patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) remains controversial. Management decisions require an accurate assessment of the risks of various treatment options compared with the natural history of the condition. The natural history of UIAs and treatment outcomes are influenced by (1) patient factors, such as previous aneurysmal SAH, age, and coexisting medical conditions; (2) aneurysm characteristics, such as size, location, and morphology; and (3) factors in management, such as the experience of the surgical team and the treating hospital. These many influences have contributed to considerable variability in the reported risks for aneurysmal SAH and the treatment of UIAs. There are no prospective randomized trials of treatment interventions versus conservative management to date, and it is possible that no such studies will be carried out in the future. According to a classification system suggested by Cook et al,7 randomized clinical trials with low likelihoods of false-positive and false-negative errors provide the highest level of evidence (level I) that can be applied to a clinical recommendation. Randomized trials with high likelihoods of false-negative and positive errors provide level II evidence. Level III evidence is generated with nonrandomized concurrent cohort comparisons between contemporaneous patients who did and …

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