Quantifying the Spatial-Temporal Variation of Population Urbanization and Affordable Housing Land in China

Chunyan He,Ding Li,Junlin Yu

doi:10.3390/land11020259

Abstract

The governments of most countries are striving to coordinate residents’ housing demands with the supply of land to achieve high-quality urbanization and improve residents’ welfare. Based on the panel data of all Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2017, this study obtains 248 observations. It uses the coupling coordination degree, the Mann–Kendall trend test, and spatial autocorrelation methods to analyze the temporal and spatial variation of the coordination degree of population urbanization and affordable housing land supply. The study aims to clarify the temporal trend further and identify the spatial mismatch of affordable housing land resource allocation and apply a panel fixed model to determine its driving factors. The regional differentiation of the coordinated development level of population urbanization and affordable housing land in China’s provinces is apparent. The overall spatial distribution characteristics of coordination are opposite to the development of its economic level. The Mann–Kendall trend test indicated that the coupling coordination degree had a significant upward trend nationwide. Moreover, the coupling coordination degree shows a strong positive global spatial correlation. The local spatial agglomeration characteristics of the coordination are significant and primarily manifested in high–high and low–low agglomeration. A negative correlation exists between the degree of coupling coordination and the dependence of local governments on land finance and housing prices.

Highlights

Received: 29 December 2021Urbanization has been a major global issue for centuries
We analyzed the mean value of the coupling coordination degree of population urbanization and affordable housing in various provinces from 2010 to 2017 (Figure 4)
It can be seen that affordable housing resources are not well concentrated in areas with high population urbanization rates, that is, areas where the urban population is more focused, and there is a certain degree of spatial mismatch

Summary

Introduction

Economic phenomena, and social phenomena, it is a necessary development process for countries worldwide [1]. While the beginning of the British Industrial Revolution brought about the rapid development of the global economy, it accelerated the speed of population gathering in spaces, which led to the continuous acceleration of the worldwide urbanization process [2]. Compared to China, European and American regions mainly rely on immigrants to provide the fundamental driving force for production when developing industries. As a country with a large population, China’s economy is primarily driven by peasants’ migration across various regions to cities with a high concentration of domestic economic activities to provide sufficient labor [3]. Relying only on economic dividends to attract migrants to big cities without providing them with corresponding guarantees is Accepted: 8 February 2022

Methods

Results

Conclusion