Abstract

Representativeness error caused by scale transformation (REST) is an intrinsic property of data assimilation, as assimilating new observations likely involves the fusion of multisource and multiscale data. Earlier studies focused on specific cases and failed to obtain a general concept. This study attempts to achieve a further understanding of REST in both theory and practice. Based on scale-related definitions and formulations, the statistical RESTs of observation errors and analysis errors are deduced in stochastic ensemble data assimilation. Experiments based on ensemble Kalman filter are conducted to validate the interpretability of the proposed formulations. A synthetic experiment uses the stochastic Lorenz model as the forecasting operator, and a real-world experiment employs a simple biosphere model as the forecasting operator and uses a series of mixed ground-based and remote sensing soil moisture observations. The results confirm that REST should be proportional to the scale difference when assimilating direct observations and both system states and observations are homogeneous processes. Due to the nonlinearity in modeling, assimilation, and scale transformation, increasing RESTs are found if the scale of the observation is much larger than that of the state space, or multiscale observations are added into the assimilation system. Quantifying REST improves the understanding of uncertainty in data assimilation, but further studies on REST are required in both theory and practice, for example, REST correlates with other errors in forcing, parameters, and models, and introduces an observation operator to assimilate indirect observations.

Highlights

  • REPRESENTATIVENESS errors in Earth observations, modeling and assimilations mainly refer to errors caused by inconsistencies in spatial-temporal resolution among different geophysical observation and models [1]-[4], differences in observation techniques and retrieval methods used for the same geophysical variables [5] and deficiencies in available models compared to ideal models [3]

  • Representativeness Error caused by Scale Transformation (REST) has received increasing attention in the fields of data assimilation and remote sensing

  • Based on the proposed theory of scale and scale transformation, this study puts forward the formulations of REST in observation errors and analysis errors in ensemble assimilation, and further introduces a series of synthetic experiments and real-world experiments to evaluate the REST in data assimilation systems

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

REPRESENTATIVENESS errors in Earth observations, modeling and assimilations mainly refer to errors caused by inconsistencies in spatial-temporal resolution among different geophysical observation and models [1]-[4], differences in observation techniques and retrieval methods used for the same geophysical variables [5] and deficiencies in available models compared to ideal models [3]. Experimental studies investigating REST in remote sensing, such as multiscale validations of soil moisture observations [19], [20], solar radiation measurements [21], [22], and upscaling carbon flux measurements [23], are continuously conducted These explorations are constructive, they cannot lead to a unified understanding of REST, which first requires theoretical studies that explicitly consider scale transformation. A stochastic data assimilation framework containing the explicit expression of scale transformation was formulated [28]. This new framework provides a promising approach to addressing REST by defining scale and introducing scale into the posterior probability distribution function (PDF) of data assimilation. The detailed analysis of the results, and the corresponding discussion and conclusions are provided in the final two sections

REST IN STOCHASTIC ENSEMBLE DATA ASSIMILATION
Scale-related Definitions
Likelihood in Stochastic Data Assimilation
REST in Analysis Error of the Ensemble Kalman Filter
Common Land Data Assimilation Framework
Stochastic Lorenz Model
Data Types
Metrics
Design of the Experiment
Results
DISCUSSION
Synthetic Experiments
Real-world Experiments
Intercomparison
CONCLUSIONS
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