Abstract
Abstract. Himalayan glaciers are important natural resources and climate indicators for densely populated regions in Asia. Remote sensing methods are vital for evaluating glacier response to changing climate over the vast and rugged Himalayan region, yet many platforms capable of glacier mass balance quantification are somewhat temporally limited due to typical glacier response times. We here rely on declassified spy satellite imagery and ASTER data to quantify surface lowering, ice volume change, and geodetic mass balance during 1974–2006 for glaciers in the eastern Himalayas, centered on the Bhutan–China border. The wide range of glacier types allows for the first mass balance comparison between clean, debris, and lake-terminating (calving) glaciers in the region. Measured glaciers show significant ice loss, with an estimated mean annual geodetic mass balance of −0.13 ± 0.06 m w.e. yr−1 (meters of water equivalent per year) for 10 clean-ice glaciers, −0.19 ± 0.11 m w.e. yr−1 for 5 debris-covered glaciers, −0.28 ± 0.10 m w.e. yr−1 for 6 calving glaciers, and −0.17 ± 0.05 m w.e. yr−1 for all glaciers combined. Contrasting hypsometries along with melt pond, ice cliff, and englacial conduit mechanisms result in statistically similar mass balance values for both clean-ice and debris-covered glacier groups. Calving glaciers comprise 18 % (66 km2) of the glacierized area yet have contributed 30 % (−0.7 km3) to the total ice volume loss, highlighting the growing relevance of proglacial lake formation and associated calving for the future ice mass budget of the Himalayas as the number and size of glacial lakes increase.
Highlights
Glaciers in high-mountain Asia hold the largest store of ice outside the polar regions and contribute meltwater used by roughly 20 % of the world’s population for agriculture, energy production, and potable water (Immerzeel et al, 2010)
Glacier changes must be quantified in order to evaluate impacts to hydrology and ecosystems, assess glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) hazards, calculate recent contributions to sea level rise, and increase predictive capabilities regarding future change and resulting impacts
Debris cover in the ablation zone and calving in proglacial lakes are noteworthy examples of complicating factors that may significantly affect the response of many glaciers
Summary
Glaciers in high-mountain Asia hold the largest store of ice outside the polar regions and contribute meltwater used by roughly 20 % of the world’s population for agriculture, energy production, and potable water (Immerzeel et al, 2010). Glacier changes must be quantified in order to evaluate impacts to hydrology and ecosystems, assess glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) hazards, calculate recent contributions to sea level rise, and increase predictive capabilities regarding future change and resulting impacts. Debris cover in the ablation zone and calving in proglacial lakes are noteworthy examples of complicating factors that may significantly affect the response of many glaciers. Debris-covered glaciers are difficult to model, since debris can either increase or suppress melt depending on debris thickness and extent, though debriscovered glaciers in the Himalayas are mostly assumed to be less responsive to ongoing warming (Scherler et al, 2011). Numerical models of glaciers terminating in moraine-dammed proglacial lakes are poorly constrained, and these glaciers can undergo enhanced ice loss through calving and thermal-undercutting processes independent of climate. Lake-terminating glaciers have particular societal relevance because the growing lakes can cause GLOFs and can impact glacier mass balance and hydrology
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