QSPR-based prediction model for the melting point of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons using MLR and ANN methods

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The melting point is an important property that helps generate specific compounds with desired thermos-physical properties. Much work has been done applying quantitative structure-property relationships to improve the melting-point correlations, but they are unreliable. This gap might come from the melting point's sensitivity for small molecular variations and descriptors, which currently do not fully consider all factors determining melting behavior. In this work, we provide a QSPR model for predicting the melting point of a heterogeneous polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons dataset. The model was generated using a robust hybrid linear approach (Genetic Algorithm-Multiple Linear Regression) and a nonlinear approach named Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Three descriptors were chosen to explain the influence of molecular weight and symmetry on melting point. The resulting QSPR model can model melting-point behavior with an RMSE of 34.88K, a coefficient correlation value of R²=0.887, and a prediction coefficient of Q²LOO= 0.863. This study reveals that the results produced by MLR were appropriate and served to predict melting points. However, compared to the results obtained by the ANN model, we conclude that the latter is more effective and better than the MLR model. Based on the results, our suggested model may be effective in predicting melting points, and the selected descriptors play essential roles in determining melting points.