Abstract

Abstract In addition to more conventional but often less precise methods, the risk assessment as part of the risk management process can be performed with the bow-tie analysis method. A bow-tie analysis describes the effects of causes on a top event and the resulting consequences. Bayesian networks, on the other hand, offer a mathematically concise way of describing dependencies between events under uncertainty. The mapping of bow-tie analysis into Bayesian networks is intended to make their superior calculation options available. While the mapping algorithm of a bow-tie method into a Bayesian network is described in the literature, no computer program carrying out this mapping has been found so far. In this text, a Python library, that is validated using published examples, is presented and made publicly available for mapping bow-tie methods into Bayesian networks.

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