Abstract
Misunderstandings about the influence of land-surface features on tornado frequency and other tornado-related misconceptions may affect how people prepare for and behave during hazardous weather events. This research uses a phone survey (n = 1804) to assess how participants in three regions of Tennessee perceive their local tornado characteristics (i.e., direction of travel, seasonality, and diurnal timing) and their belief in protection from land-surface features (i.e., hills, water bodies, and buildings). Region of residence influences most beliefs in local tornado characteristics, and demographic characteristics, specifically age and gender, also have some influence. Residents in hilly East Tennessee are more likely to believe they are protected by hills and underestimate the proportion of nocturnal tornadoes, while residents in West Tennessee are more likely to believe they are protected by water bodies, perhaps because of proximity to the Mississippi River. Outside of the typical severe-weather season, participants were uncertain of when tornadoes were likely to occur; specifically, they did not recognize their local wintertime tornado activity. Because public perceptions are related to local features, local organizations and personnel, for example National Weather Service offices and broadcast meteorologists, may be most helpful in dispelling these misconceptions.
Highlights
Recent devastating tornado outbreaks in the southeast United States (SEUS), for example, the April 2011 outbreak which produced 25 killer tornadoes [1], have heightened the need to better understand physical and social vulnerability to tornadoes in the region
Middle and West Tennessee were the most likely to be hit by a tornado, with little difference between the two, and East Tennessee was the least likely
We sampled residents in each of three Tennessee regions to assess their understanding of local tornado characteristics
Summary
Recent devastating tornado outbreaks in the southeast United States (SEUS), for example, the April 2011 outbreak which produced 25 killer tornadoes [1], have heightened the need to better understand physical and social vulnerability to tornadoes in the region. After the April 2011 outbreak, researchers found that residents based their decisions during the event, in part, on their knowledge and beliefs about their local risk and vulnerability to tornadoes [2]. Many of these beliefs provided a false sense of security and may have put residents in danger.
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