Abstract

Perspective directions for the development of motor biofuels market in Ukraine are considered. It is shown that Ukraine has a significant potential for the production of liquid biofuels for the transport sector. Today, it is mainly biodiesel and bioethanol of the first generation, since the technologies for obtaining advanced biofuels from lignocellulosic feedstocks are not yet sufficiently developed in the country. However, as these technologies improve, one of directions for the development of motor biofuels market will be the expansion of production opportunities for second generation (advanced) biofuels with a significant share of their export to EU countries. Directive (EU) 2018/2001 on renewable energy sources (RED II) limits the share of 1st generation biofuels in achieving the goals for the consumption of renewable energy in transport. The share of such biofuels in a certain EU country can be no more than 1 % higher than the share of these biofuels in the gross final energy consumption of road and rail transport of that country in 2020, but no more than 7 %. For Ukraine, this means that the share of 1st generation biofuels in the final energy consumption in transport in 2030 cannot exceed 1.85 %, since in 2020 this indicator was 0.85 %. A possible option for solving this problem is to coordinate with the European Commission the issue of increasing the quota of 1st generation biofuels for Ukraine to 7 % in 2030, which is equivalent to the consumption of 503 ktoe/y. In the future, it seems appropriate to develop the production of advanced bioethanol from byproducts of grain corn cultivation as well as advanced biodiesel from oilseed energy crops grown on unused agricultural land. According to RED II, such biodiesel is not subject to restrictions on biofuels produced from food or feed crops. Production and consumption of biomethane is also a promising direction for the introduction of renewable energy in transport. It is shown that the total potential of biogas production in Ukraine is currently 8.16 Mtoe/y, of which a quarter can be allocated for the transport needs. By 2050, the production potential of biogas as a motor fuel may increase to 4.7 Mtoe/y, mainly due to the use of cover crops as feedstock to obtain biogas. Bibl. 21, Tab. 4.

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