Projection of rice production and consumption in Maros regency, South Sulawesi

Abstract

Rice is the main food source for most of the population in Maros regency. Maros regency is one of the rice producing district in South Sulawesi, but has experienced a very intensive conversion of agricultural land to infrastructure development compared to other regency in the province of South Sulawesi. This will lead to a decrease in production, which will have an impact on food security in the future. In addition to increasing the amount of rice production, an analysis of rice food requirements in Maros regency is also needed. Therefore, research and projection on the production and consumption of rice in Maros regency is needed in the future. With this projection, we can estimate the quantity of rice available in Maros regency. This research aims to determine the estimated quantity of rice production and consumption in Maros regency from 2019 to 2023. The data used in this research are secondary data, time series for the period 2007-2018. This research was a descriptive qualitative and quantitative research. Data processing in this research using software Minitab 17 and Microsoft Office Excel. The analysis showed that the development of production in Maros regency from 2019 to 2023 has increased every year. The forecast result showed, Maros regency has a surplus of rice in 2019 as big as 247,395 ton up to 2020 as big as 284,168 ton. While rice consumption in Maros regency in 2019 as big as 33,569 ton and 2023 as big as 32,106 ton.